Chapter Twelve

2025 NCAA 6-9 
2025 NFL 6-14
2018-2025 NCAA 123-129-6
2018-2025 NFL 164-146-11

NC State +14.5 – Miss.
Ravens -7.5 – Miss.

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It has been a darn rough year! I will keep chopping and I know the tides will change. 6-14 in NFL is honestly tough everyone usually floats 50% but 30%?!?! Sheesh! Stay with me people, it’ll flip.

Rutgers is at Ohio State this weekend. LOOK AHEAD SPOT?!? Streets saying two receivers might not play for Ohio State (like that will actually matter) but Ohio State does have Michigan next week!!  RRRRR UUUUU RRRRR UUUUU

USC +10.5 at Oregon

Want to start off with some negatives – I don’t think Oregon can make the playoffs with a loss here, and the narrative going around is Oregon has a very weak resume. Dan Lanning is a nut and can very well make a statement in this game. But, USC is a really good football team! USC has taken on some strong defenses as of late and is averaging 31.25 points against the Big Ten + Notre Dame. Oregon isn’t led by their flash this year, it’s their defense, but USC is the type of offense that you expect to score once a quarter. Oregon’s Dante Moore is having a great statistical season but when you look at the three ranked teams he’s played he only threw 4 touchdowns to 3 interceptions. I just don’t know if Oregon has a go-to guy in high pressure situations like Makai Lemon of USC. Oregon’s leading receiver has 30 catches and their leading yards guy has 443. To beat Oregon you need to defend the run and make them sweat in the second half, and USC has shown they can slow down the run when they have to limit Michigan to a season low 109 yards. USC has the firepower to make Oregon sweat. 

Colts +3.5 at Chiefs

This one is hard to write because of the helmets and logos. The Chiefs have an awful run game. Mahomes is airing it out, but they’ve been so one dimensional. The Colts just had two shaky performances, losing in Pittsburgh and barely beating the Falcons in Berlin after a few turnovers, but they were able to flush all of that out in a bye week. I’m really falling back in love with the run game and think Jonathan Taylor will keep these chains moving, limiting Mahomes possessions. The Chiefs are better throughout the season in time of possession and that has a lot to do with how efficient the Colts have been. Chiefs are allowing QBs to complete 70% of their passes and that’s when Daniel Jones is at his best, making the layups not forcing the ball in tight windows. Chiefs are a dynasty, I am not counting them out, but they are just flawed at the moment and the Colts have shown week after week that their run game can win games. 

Bucs +7 at Rams

We’re looking at a desperate Bucs team here and I think that’ll translate to success Sunday night. The Bucs are 1-3 their last 4 to the Rams 5-0. Bucs are a playoff caliber team who’s struggled with injuries and inconsistency. Bucs had a great run attack last season and although Buvky Irving is set to miss another week, the emergence of Sean Tucker is huge. This keeps the Bucs balanced and neutralizes the fierce Rams pass rush. Rams have done a great job keeping Stafford upright and limiting turnovers, and while the Bucs have been giving up lots of yards and a decent amount of points, they are extremely aggressive. They’ve been finding the ball and creating pressure off blitzes. Stafford has been a surgeon, probably the MVP, but Todd Bowles makes QBs uncomfy. 

Power Rankings

1. Rams (1)
2. Broncos (6)
3. Eagles (2)
4. Patriots (3)
5. Colts (5)
6. Seahawks (4)
7. Ravens (10)
8. Bills (13)
9. Bears (11)
10. Niners (14)
11. Packers (16)
12. Chargers (7)
13. Chiefs (8)
14. Lions (9)
15. Bucs (12) 
16. Steelers (15)
17. Jaguars (20)
18. Panthers (18)
19. Texans (17)
20. Cowboys (22)
21. Dolphins (21)
22. Vikings (19)
23. Falcons (25)
24. Cardinals (23)
25. Jets (27)
26. Bengals (24)
27. Saints (28)
28. Raiders (30) 
29. Commanders (26)
30. Brown (31) 
31. Giants (29)
32. Titans (32)

Thank you,
Goose