Episode Seventeen

Recap
Browns -2.5 v Saints – Miss.
Eagles +4.5 at Cowboys – Miss.
2022 NCAAF 7-9 -2.9u
2022 NFL 12-11-2 -.1u
2018-22 220-200-10

We are down 3 units heading into a big stretch! Let’s finish the year on a high and start 2023 with a Mike Breen “BANG!”

Georgia -6.5 vs Ohio State
I don’t see how anyone who watched the Ohio State Michigan game could like Ohio State vs a better version of Michigan in Georgia. The stats and mock drafts show Ohio State is neck and neck with Georgia but that doesn’t tell the story how soft Ohio State is. Michigan was able to run run run and hit explosive plays on Ohio State. Toughness isn’t an overnight thing, look at last year also with Ohio State when Oregon and Michigan punked them. Yes, Ohio State has a great QB, great RBs, and is arguably WRU, but Georgia’s DLine is going to eat on Ohio State’s OLine. Georgia has some DAWGS up front and I don’t see Ohio State moving the ball with much success. The Buckeyes won’t have the fortune of “figuring it out” like they did with Notre Dame, another big team, and squeaking it out late, because Georgia has an offense. Georgia will blitz them with multiple Running Backs and Tight Ends and put up a casual 38. Ohio State plays a 4-2-5 which means only two linebackers and that won’t be enough beef for me. I wouldn’t call Georgia the most explosive offense but Kenny McIntosh, Brock Bowers, and co, just keep chopping and getting 5-10 yards a play. Stetson Bennett has played and won the big games. He isn’t going in the top5 of the NFL Draft like CJ Stroud but Stroud is 0-2 vs Michigan and I worry about this team when they look across the field with equal talent. This isn’t Rutgers on the other side.
Georgia 38 Ohio State 21

Utah -2 vs Penn State
Penn State played TWO ranked teams all season and lost them both; at Michigan 41-17 and vs Ohio State 44-31. Now, on one end it’s not saying much about losing to two playoff teams, but it also says a lot how down the Big Ten was and how little battle tested Penn State was. The Utes have shown the ability to beat a team with equal talent, beating USC twice, and losing narrowly on the road to UCLA and Oregon. Penn State supports a great secondary led by Joey Porter Jr but Utah wants to keep it on the ground or in their stud Tight End Dalton Kinkaid’s hands. Penn State’s two stud running backs Allen and Singleton combined for 156 yards in the two games vs their ranked foe’s this year and that’s just telling me this offensive line doesn’t play bully ball. Give me the more physical team who will stop Penn State’s rush attack and make Sean Clifford make plays.
Utah 27 Penn State 23

Bears +6 at Lions
We all saw hope bad the Lions defense is against the run last week. They made Donta Foreman and Chuba Hubbard look like Adrian Peterson and Barry Sanders on Sunday. The Lions were America’s Team for a hot month but last week’s L i think killed momentum. The Bears should be able to run all over this team in a high scoring shootout. This is a young Lions team who might be a year ahead of schedule so I think they press a little and let Chicago hang. The Bears are bad, they are on an EIGHT game losing streak, but have competed in that stretch. At some point they will pop a team, and there’s no better time than to pop a divisional foe. Justin Fields was too conservative his last two games vs the Eagles and the Bills, and I think the coaching staff will open it back up for him. It’s time for the Bears to get Chase Claypool involved, who they traded a high 2nd round pick for. Again, no better time than this Lions defense. They are trending back to the middle of the pack and the Bears are due.
Bears 28 Lions 27

Thank you,
Goose