Lucky or unlucky 13?!?
Recap
Wikings Patriots Under 42.5 – Miss.
Florida +9.5 – HIT!
Rutgers +14 – Miss.
2022 NCAAF 6-6
2022 NFL 9-7-2
2018-22 217-195-10
USC -2.5 v Utah
I dont see USC losing to Utah twice in the same season given USC’s recent form. USC just beat UCLA and Notre Dame, getting 4 interceptions combined. This defense is still giving up yards and points but the dbacks are finding the ball. It also took Utah a 415 yard 3 touchdown performance by their quarterback and 16 catches for 234 yards by their tight end, just to win by 1 at home. The USC Utah game was also the only game this season that USC lost the turnover battle. They have a NCAA leading +1.8 in differential so I know Utah has a good defense but they probably wont steal a possession this time around.
USC 38 Utah 34
TCU -2.5 v Kansas State
I hear all the arguments why Kansas State will win and it’s all great points. The angle I’ll attack is TCU is 12-0 and has won pretty and ugly. Their run game, pass game, and total defense has shown up at different times and this balance is playoff caliber. Kansas State started the year with Adrian Martinez and switched to Will Howard at Quarterback. Will Howard was part of that lose to TCU in the midseason. KState just has had a hard time beating the good teams on their schedule. Lost by 7 vs Tulane, lost by 10 at TCU, lost by 7 vs Texas, beat Kansas by 20, and beat Oklahoma State 48-0 (who finished the year 1-4). The eye test and the schedule run-through says TCU wins. The problem is, its the “public pick of the week.” Oh well, Frogs up!
TCU 35 KState 30
Boise State Fresno State over 54.5
This is one of those conference championship games that the higher seed, Boise State, gets to host. Fresno State is 8-4 but their starting QB who missed some time is 6-1 with the only loss being a 3 point loss to Oregon State in week 2. Now their 350 yard quarterback is healthy and rolling as of late. On the other side, freshman QB Taylen Green for Boise has been just as effective. In his last 5 he’s been red hot, 10 touchdowns 0 interceptions sacked twice with 4 more touchdowns on the ground. Boise State supports a good defense but the way these two quarterbacks are playing they should throw up points. And Boise State is more a running team but their qb has been red hot so they should put up points. It’ll be cold in Boise on Saturday but we arent looking at much wind at all. There’s some great games on championship weekend, and this should be an exciting one for the second screen tv.
Boise State 31 Fresno State 30
Vikings -3 v Jets
I dont believe that these two teams are a pick em on a neutral field and that is what the -3 is saying. The Vikings might not be as good as their 9-2 record but this is a good football team. The Jets have a great defense, who has benefited from not the most challenging schedule, and a solid offense around Mike White. But i just cannot see Mike White going TO Minnesota and leading them to victory. Kevin OConnell is a rising star at coach and I know he’ll be able to scheme open Justin Jefferson. Sauce Gardner is Him but Jefferson mixed with OConnell’s play calling is Him x2. The Jets got their running game going despite no Breece Hall and Michael Carter was banged up, and I dont think that is sustainable either. 1pm Kirk Cousins is calling my name.
Vikings 24 Jets 20
Raiders -1 v Chargers
This Raiders team is better than their 4-7 record in my opinion, and their recent play is showing that. Derek Carr in his last 4 has thrown for 9 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Yes, they lost in Jacksonville, yes they lost in Jeff Saturday’s debut (where teams do well their first game under a new H.C) but they’ve steadied the ship going 2-2. Josh Jacobs is having a great contract-year completing this offense which will keep the Chargers edge rushers honest having to respect the run. Justin Herbert has been good for a turnover a game lately and that can be the key for this bad Raiders defense. If they can steal a possession the way their offense is playing they’ll be alright. At the end of the day it’s hard to win on the road in your division, so give me the home team here.
Raiders 27 Chargers 24
Bucs -3.5 v Saints
The Saints have owned the Bucs in the Tom Brady era but this isn’t the same Saints team. The Bucs next two games after this are rough, at Niners and hosting the Bengals, so this game should create much urgency. The Saints are averaging 16.8 points on the road in their 5 appearances, and thats with scoring 34 at the Cardinals midseason. This Saints team is being failed by its quarterback play, and I dont see them turning it around any time soon. Yes, The Bucs arent lighting it up on offense but if they didnt collapse vs the Browns last week this would be a 3 game win streak. I’ll take the urgent home team.
Bucs 21 Saints 14
Thank you,
Goose
Kowal's Korner 
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