Episode Twelve

Recap
Packers -3 v Titans – Miss. Titans 27 Packers 20
Bears +3 at Falcons – Push. Falcons 27 Bears 24
Cowboys -1.5 at Vikings – HIT! Cowboys 40 Vikings 3
2022 NCAAF 5-5
2022 NFL 9-6-2
2018-22 216-193-10

Vikings -2.5 v Patriots o/u 42.5
The Play: Under 42.5
I’m going to start off with this game is not at 1pm so odds are Kirk Cousins flops. I guess he’s “due” to perform in primetime but I’ll take my chances. Second main factor, Belicheck made a comment that during the bye week he didn’t only prepare for the Jets but was also looking in to the Vikings. This Patriots defense is still no joke and I believe they are the best unit in this game.If you take out the Patriots vs Bears game, in the last 5 games the Patriots defense is giving up on average 7.6 points! They are top10 in preventing a 3rd down conversion and the Vikings are bottom 10 on 3rd downs. The Patriots on offense are a primary running team, and while the Vikings dont have a stout defense, their run defense is better than their pass defense. Tune in to the Egg Bowl Thursday night, I see this one lacking offense.
Patriots 20 Vikings 17

Florida State -9.5 v Florida o/u 58
The Play: Florida +9.5
Lets look at Florida State. They are on a 4 game win streak but dominated Lafayette, Cuse, Miami and Georgia Tech. Rutgers would be 4-0 in that stretch. They are a good ACC team in a down ACC year. Florida just lost to Vanderbilt but I’m not going to call that a bad loss when Vandy just beat South Carolina as well. The main reason I’m rocking with Florida is give me an average SEC team over an above average ACC team. 9.5 is too many points for a team who when they play competent football teams they lose. Billy Napier is going to be a good coach for Florida, there’s a concern Florida has packed it in but with Napier at the helm, I think Florida gets up for the in-state rivalry.
Florida 28 FSU 27

Maryland -14 vs Rutgers o/u 49
The Play: Rutgers +14
I’m 2-0 in giving out public Rutgers plays. On PaidForPlay we had Rutgers +9 at BC and on the Korner we had Rutgers +3 vs Nebraska. 14 feels too much this weekend. Gavin Wimsatt has made some bonehead turnovers for Rutgers but he is moving the ball for them. Those turnovers have helped the wheels fall off vs teams like Michigan and Penn State and then the defense gets gassed. Maryland isnt at the level of those two teams. Maryland’s offense has disappeared a little lately. Baby Tua threw for 293 vs Ohio State but the two games before that vs Penn State and Wisky he didn’t break 80 yards. Rutgers has been giving up points but thats because their defense as I mentioned gets fatigued. They should be a tough match for Maryland and they should be able to make them one dimensional, as Maryland is already a bad run team. When in doubt Adam Korsak will pin Maryland in their own 10 yard line and Rutgers will have to play the territory game. And calling my shot, the 2020 Big Ten returner of the year, Aron Cruickshank, who has been coming on as of late because he is finally fully healthy, will return a kick/punt in his last game in Scarlet.
Rutgers 24 Maryland 23

Thank you,
Goose