Episode Eleven

Recap
Oregon State +4.5 – HIT! Washington 24 Oregon State 21
Cardinals -2 – Miss. Seahawks 31 Cardinals 21
Bucs -2.5 – HIT! Bucs 16 Rams 13
2022 NCAAF 5-5
2022 NFL 8-5-1
2018-22 215-192-9

Packers -3 vs Titans o/u 41
The Play: Packers -3
The Packers finally ended their losing skid and got the monkey off their back. Aaron Rodgers and co. put up 31 points against a great Dallas defense thanks to their run game and a speedy Christian Watson emergence. The Packers are 12th in yards per game but 22nd in touchdowns per game. Simply, they’ve been bad in the redzone. I’m buying that Watson will be a factor which will open up the run game and let the offense get back to levels it’s been in the past few years. The Titans should be able to run on the Packers but I don’t think a team with the lack of receivers will be able to score enough to beat Rodgers. Some might think last week was a fluke vs the Cowboys, and maybe it was, but I think the Pack have a run in them.
Packers 23 Titans 17

Falcons -3 vs Bears o/u 49
The Play: Bears +3
Sweeping a division foe is no easy feat, but it was almost an embarrassing performance by the Falcons last week at Carolina. Mariota couldn’t sling it and they refused to run it. That kinda game last week has a team questioning when its Desmond Ridder time and the lockerroom has to be thinking Cancun. On the other side the vibes are high with Justin Fields but the wins aren’t there. With the way he’s throwing and running and playing an Atlanta defense, who has given up the most passing yards this season, I can see the offense having a day.
Bears 27 Falcons 21

Vikings +1 vs Cowboys o/u 47.5
The Play: Cowboys -1
I don’t know what it is but Kirk Cousins is about 60% ATS at 1pm and around 35% outside of 1pm. I also believe that the Cowboys are the team to beat come playoff time in the NFC. The Vikings have been playing very opportunistic on defense, giving up a lot of yards and also creating turnovers. Yes, Dak had two picks last week but I expect a better Dak this week with Zeke back adding to what Pollard has been doing. And until Kirk shines outside of 1pm, I believe it is the Cowboys who will win the turnover battle.
Cowboys 26 Vikings 23

Three more games to come, one college and two NFL. I’ll get to them Friday!

Thank you,
Goose