Episode Nine

Recap
Southern Miss +1.5 vs Louisiana – HIT! Southern Miss 39 Louisiana 24
BYU ECU Over 63.5 – Miss. Total 52
Vikings Cardinals Over 49 – HIT! Total 60
Titans -2 vs Texans – HIT! Titans 17 Texans 10
Browns Bengals Over 47 – Miss. Total 45
2022 NCAAF 4-5
2022 NFL 7-4-1
2018-22 213-191-9

Washington -4.5 vs Oregon State o/u 54.5
The Play: Oregon State +4.5
Both of these teams have great run defenses, but Oregon State runs its offense through the ground. I think Oregon State’s run defense will make Washington one dimensional as they want to throw the ball regardless. The weather conditions in Seattle call for some wind and rain so you’ll want to keep the ball on the ground. This will work to Oregon State’s advantage as they’ll be able to chip away playing their game. Oregon State is also coming in to form since they pulled their quarterback 4 weeks ago in their last loss. Gulbranson is 3-0 as the starter throwing for 5 touchdowns and only 1 interception. I’ll be riding the team with a better run game and the team more in form.
Oregon State 26 Washington 24

Cardinals -2 vs Seahawks o/u 49.5
The Play: Cardinals -2
If you know me, I’m Kyler Murray hater #1. Let’s take a look at Kyler and the Cardinals last 4 games though. Loss to 7-0 Eagles, lost at divisional foe Seahawks, beat the Saints, lost at 6-1 Vikings. Not bad, the play feels better than the record so I feel this is a “buy low” spot. Seattle has been a very optimistic defense, getting turnovers left and right. To the Cardinals credit, they aren’t turning the ball over, the reason they’ve been losing is swiss cheese defense. I don’t see the Cardinals having more than one turnover this weekend and Seattle won’t get their extra possession they are accustomed to. For as good as Seattle has been, they are the 3rd most penalized team. If I see the Cardinals taking care of the ball at home, and Seattle will probably run into penalties, then I just see the Cardinals as a better spot at home.
Cardinals 28 Seattle 23

Bucs -2.5 vs Rams o/u 42.5
The Play: Bucs -2.5
These are the two worst running teams to start the season, but I’m still believing in the Bucs run game. Lenny hasn’t been explosive and the Bucs OLine has been a mess. Enter the Rams. The Rams have a speed defense but they haven’t been able to bring the physicality over the years. This is the main reason the Niners have found success against them. The Bucs run game should get it going this weekend and that’ll open it up for Brady. I mentioned the Bucs OLine being disappointing but maybe more disappointing has been the Rams OLine. The DLine of the Bucs still has some dawgs on there so I expect Stafford to be rushed in his decisions. Cooper Kupp will get his 10 catches, so the Bucs will have to neutralize Allen Robinson and Tyler Higbee. If they just let Kupp eat, the Rams won’t have enough to win.
Bucs 23 Rams 17

Thank you,
Goose