Episode One

Recap
2021 32-37 46.4%
2018-21 NFL 108-90-4 54.54%
2018-21 NCAAF 94-92-4 50.5%

The Korner will be live for its FIFTH season! Last year wasn’t it, going 46.4% but in the offseason I got my mind right. 50% is the worst over a long stretch because you don’t know if you should #FadeTheKorner or #FlockUp with Goose. I’ve been trying to get too cute, highlighting Power-5 matchups on @PaidForPlay and focusing on Group-of-5 matchups on the Korner. You’ll see repeats this year as I just need to try and stack wins to get to the 52.4% goal! Hopefully I can parlay that by keeping my NFL above the profit mark as well. Heck, I have a wedding to pay for in 2024 so I need all the winners I can get!

Notre Dame -20.5 vs Marshall o/u 50.5
The Play: Under 50.5
All off-season we thought Ohio State’s offense was going to be borderline unstoppable. Well, Saturday night Notre Dame made them work just to put up 21 points. And it wasn’t like Notre Dame controlled the ball, Ohio State had the ball for 33 minutes compared to the Irish’s 27. Marshall is lead by Texas Tech transfer Henry Columbi who can sling it, but after watching Heisman favorite CJ Stroud struggle, I find it hard to believe Columbi cracking 250 passing yards. A big x-factor is Marshall’s elite running back Rasheen Ali is on a leave of absence. Points will be hard to come by for Marshall. The reason I’m on the under vs Notre Dame -20.5 is the Notre Dame offense has some tuning up to do. They don’t strike me as punishing team, and Marshall is no slouch of a defense. If I’m coaching Marshall I’m stacking the box as Notre Dame would like to run it 30+ times a game, and I’m double-teaming TE Michael Mayer. He had five catches against Ohio State and five other Notre Dame players had one catch each. Marshall is no Ohio State but we can clearly see who the quarterback’s preferred target is. Notre Dame probably scores less than 35 and Marshall will have a hard time scoring more than 14. Life’s too short to bet the under, but I’m here for a good time not a long time!
Notre Dame 31 Marshall 14

Dolphins -3.5 vs Patriots o/u 46.5
The Play: Dolphins -3.5
Both of these teams have had a lot of transition over the last few seasons, but the Dolphins have won three of the last four since Tom Brady left New England. The Patriots lost their offensive identity with Coach McDaniels leaving and will trust defensive minded Matt Patricia and special teams minded Joe Judge to shape the New England offense. Whether it works out or not, I think it’ll take a few weeks for Mac Jones to adjust to this so I want to attack while he’s figuring it out. And with the other quarterback in this matchup, Tua finally has a coach who wants him! Thats a big confidence boost. His arm is fine, better than Mac’s in my opinion, and his weapons are more than fine! The speed of the Dolphins will be too much for the Patriots to handle. Ty Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Chase Edmonds, Raheem Mostert, the list goes on and on. And lets not forget that Coach McDaniel has a smash mouth fullback in Alec Ingold paving the way for this run game. The Patriots defense will get winded in this heat which is why Belicheck brought his team down to South Beach on Tuesday, which is very early in NFL standards. As President of the Tua fan club, I’m excited to watch him manage a game and let his playmakers do the talking.
Dolphins 27 Patriots 20

Thank you,
Goose