Round Divisional

NFL YTD 19-26-1
NCAAF YTD 9-10
Last Week 1-4-1

I’m excellent fade material!

Packers -7 vs Rams – This Rams defense is elite! But I can’t back a team with a hobbled quarterback. Jared Goff was gutsy in pulling out the win in Seattle. I just don’t think that thumb is healed yet. And it wont help that he is going into the Green Bay cold. If Goff was 100% I’m riding with the Rams, mainly because Jalen Ramsey and Aaron Donald. They should be able to slow down Davante Adams, slow the run game, and rush the passer. At the end of the day I cant see this all star Rams defense holding the Packers under 20 points, and I worry about their offense. I’m taking Aaron Rodgers, and the rested Packers.
Packers 23 Rams 14

Bills -2.5 vs Ravens – First off, I’m thrilled both of these quarterbacks got their first playoff win! The Ravens are HOT and Lamar Action Jackson is a beast. Maybe I’m reading too much in to the Lamar never playing in the snow comments and him not wanting snow. Its no knock on Lamar that he is at his best when he runs the ball efficiently. But I wonder if the snow will effect his footing. The Ravens are built for the snow and wind, because they will keep the ball on the ground. But Josh Allen is also built for bad weather and lots of wind. He throws the ball too hard for the wind to effect it. He can also run and is the size of Cam Newton. The Bills can win ugly, and that is what will have to happen Saturday night. This game revolves around Lamar’s running effectiveness, and i think he’ll have a hard time adjusting to the Buffalo winter storm.
Bills 28 Ravens 24

Browns +10 at Chiefs – The Chiefs have been winning but havent won by 10+ since Week 8 when they beat down on the Jets. They are a great team, but havent been playing their most dominating football. Andy Reid off a bye week is unbeatable. I just think the Browns keep this one close. “Win in the trenches” used to be the deciding factor. The Browns have a very good DLine and the best OLine. I dont think they pull out the victory because MAhomes is on the other side. But Coach Stefanski will run the rock, control the clock, and put up points. His defense will need to bend not break, and make a few key stops. The Chiefs only weakness is their redzone offense. Reid tends to get cute and play left to right football in the Redzone. If the Browns force a few field goals, they’ll be right there till the end.
Chiefs 34 Browns 28

Bucs +3 at Saints – I dont really buy the “cant beat a team three times in a row” narrative. But i do buy that the Bucs are hot and the Saints are neutral right now. The Bucs offense has hit a new gear. Brady and the boys are figuring it out and getting touchdowns. Antonio Brown just finds the endzone. And their defense has been stout, especially the DLine. Whether its slowing down the run, or creating a rush, Todd Bowles and the crew are dialing it up! The Saints are playing like the NBA’s Spurs lately. Efficient, kinda boring, and a well-oiled machine. Maybe I’m disrespecting them by picking against them, but i just dont think they are playing their best football right now. They have weapons in Kamara Thomas and Hill, but i just think the Bucs are athletic enough to slow down this machine. The Saints have played great defense vs the Bucs, but teams evolve over the course of the season, and the Bucs are peaking at the right time.
Bucs 28 Saints 27

Thank you,
Goose